NASHVILLE, TN – A new poll shows that District 48 Republican State Rep. Joe Carr has a commanding lead over Democrat challenger David LaRoche. The poll, which was conducted by Public Opinion Strategies August 16-17, shows Rep. Carr leading LaRoche by a 55-28 percent margin. Among Independent voters, Carr holds a 58-17 percent lead.
“These latest poll numbers reflect that Rutherford County voters recognize Rep. Carr’s excellent record of service in the Tennessee House of Representatives,” said Tennessee Republican Party Chairman Chris Devaney. “Joe is a small businessman who understands the obstacles facing Tennessee business owners. When it comes to job creation, he understands that more government is the problem, not the solution. He’s been a resounding conservative voice for District 48 and will continue to servethis district well after his re-election to the General Assembly.”
Public Opinion Strategies issued a memorandum detailing results of the poll. Excerpts from that memo follow:
TO: TENNESSEE HOUSE REPUBLICAN CAUCUS
FROM: PATRICK LANNE — PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
SUBJECT: HOUSE DISTRICT 48 POLL RESULTS
DATE: SEPTEMBER 8, 2010
Public Opinion Strategies recently conducted a district-wide survey of 300 likely voters in Tennessee’s 48th State House District. The poll was conducted on August 16-17, 2010 and has a margin of error of +/- 5.66% in 95 out of 100 cases.
Joe Carr owns a wide lead on the ballot test.
Representative Joe Carr begins the campaign nearly doubling Democrat David LaRoche, 55%-28%. Carr’s lead extends across nearly every sub-group in the poll. In fact, Carr only trails among Democrats (20%-66%) and self-described liberals (22%-70%).
Among Independent voters, Carr holds a forty-one point lead, 58%-17%.
The Bottom Line
Representative Joe Carr is well-positioned for re-election. Carr owns a wide lead over his Democratic opponent, nearly doubling him on the ballot and leading with the key swing voters — Independents.